World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb29a004bf7b5e37ea9763bc4583313d4619f8bfe9f88cd57c34556313c7c6933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9b2…1befbacked Yes | 1c | 5,765$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…8b2bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,521$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 5c | 3,043$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…37aebacked Yes | 2c | 2,840$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 1c | 2,171$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 6c | 1,150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…a7febacked Yes | 10c | 966.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…9d4abacked Yes | 1c | 877.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…aa32backed Yes | 11c | 852.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a6…d2acbacked Yes | 21c | 741$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…0a8dbacked Yes | 20c | 721$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 2c | 620.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…0cffbacked Yes | 24c | 538$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2f…c1e4backed Yes | 20c | 538$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 9c | 465.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 8c | 450$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 399.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1c…4a61backed No | 79c | 392$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 10c | 383.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…9b3abacked Yes | 21c | 379$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…c1babacked Yes | 22c | 379$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fd…f4f5backed No | 80c | 378$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…a83ebacked No | 80c | 363$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…a978backed No | 80c | 360$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…a682backed No | 79c | 349$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…fc46backed No | 76c | 310$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…ab22backed Yes | 20c | 265$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 8c | 257.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Yes | 16c | 254.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…c05bbacked No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c58…8ed7backed Yes | 20c | 246$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…e84bbacked No | 76c | 228$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c0…e106backed No | 79c | 211$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f0…e175backed No | 80c | 178$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…7621backed No | 79c | 168$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…9febbacked No | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…ac36backed No | 78c | 129$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3401…979bbacked No | 80c | 128$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…6de5backed No | 80c | 118$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 80c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.