NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b3fcfa66e6dbec168c26b2a89f9b47b663f727653a9a5b6c703a80d3b72b191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Magic, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,497,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,633,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,497,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x423e…77e9backed Magic | 63c | 288,187$180,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180,607.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Magic | 5c | 92,497$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.04 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Hawks | 38c | 89,573$33,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,956.64 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 39c | 74,667$29,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,213.18 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 0c | 68,931$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.32 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Hawks | 37c | 50,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Hawks | 40c | 38,752$15,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,251.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 38c | 32,626$12,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,360.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 18c | 31,718$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684.63 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawks | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Hawks | 75c | 23,615$17,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,903.69 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Hawks | 40c | 22,515$9,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,508.78 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 25c | 21,237$5,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.22 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Hawks | 68c | 18,401$12,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,818.79 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Magic | 60c | 15,830$9,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,498 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Hawks | 40c | 15,748$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,448.5 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Hawks | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 20c | 13,082$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.31 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 59c | 12,184$7,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,188.5 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks | 39c | 12,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,320 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 39c | 9,811$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.79 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Magic | 60c | 9,800$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ca…ccd2backed Hawks | 39c | 9,800$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,968.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magic | 52c | 8,381$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.23 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Hawks | 38c | 8,266$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.8 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Hawks | 40c | 7,859$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.37 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hawks | 39c | 7,525$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576.66 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Magic | 60c | 7,154$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.84 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…7470backed Magic | 61c | 6,500$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Hawks | 40c | 6,432$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.4 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 6,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Magic | 50c | 6,012$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.22 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Hawks | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hawks | 39c | 5,657$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.25 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 0c | 5,592$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 1c | 5,543$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 33c | 5,533$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.45 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 1c | 5,310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Magic | 60c | 4,997$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Magic | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 13c | 4,669$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.59 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Magic | 32c | 4,636$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.57 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Magic | 60c | 4,273$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.15 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 30c | 4,207$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 13c | 4,200$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.31 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hawks | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.98 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Magic | 45c | 3,826$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.18 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Magic | 2c | 3,691$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawks | 36c | 3,600$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks | 37c | 3,216$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.38 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 3,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hawks | 54c | 3,150$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Hawks | 38c | 3,100$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Magic | 52c | 3,084$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Magic | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Magic | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Hawks | 37c | 2,800$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Magic | 42c | 2,762$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.54 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 26c | 2,712$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.77 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Magic | 61c | 2,640$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.4 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Magic | 4c | 2,626$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Hawks | 72c | 2,621$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.64 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Magic | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Hawks | 40c | 2,468$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.24 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Magic | 59c | 2,447$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.68 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Magic | 59c | 2,396$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.42 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Magic | 25c | 2,191$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.21 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Hawks | 41c | 2,168$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.17 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Hawks | 37c | 2,050$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.5 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Hawks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Magic | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Magic | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 10c | 1,953$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.06 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Hawks | 39c | 1,908$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.64 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Magic | 35c | 1,900$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 59c | 1,760$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.66 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e0…3101backed Magic | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Magic | 2c | 1,699$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Magic | 1c | 1,682$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Hawks | 40c | 1,669$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.56 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Magic | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Magic | 14c | 1,635$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a3…ca92backed Magic | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…dc82backed Magic | 20c | 1,500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks | 39c | 1,484$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.92 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…8f4ebacked Magic | 19c | 1,459$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.71 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks | 39c | 1,398$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.45 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Magic | 5c | 1,300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0a…7bc7backed Hawks | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…e622backed Magic | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Hawks | 38c | 1,250$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Magic | 2c | 1,216$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Magic | 44c | 1,207$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.23 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…66f2backed Hawks | 77c | 1,169$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 137 | 66.4%91 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 17c | 1,047$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.15 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Magic | 37c | 1,032$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 49c | 1,026$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.22 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Magic | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Hawksthis page
- Magic vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.