College Football · resolved market
Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1ac5df062393884c3b609397701b1c8ed16d0845effaeff9128100138dd0df2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinoisof Maryland Terrapins, Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maryland Terrapins | 14c | 2,010$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.3 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…38fabacked Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 1,059$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Maryland Terrapins | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 929.25$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 614.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Maryland Terrapins | 3c | 459.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maryland Terrapins | 14c | 420$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 293.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maryland Terrapins | 10c | 284.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 203.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maryland Terrapins | 11c | 170$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maryland Terrapins | 9c | 162.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 13c | 160.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 149.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maryland Terrapins | 14c | 142.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…365bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…1f21backed Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Maryland Terrapins | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…a5e9backed Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Illinois | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Maryland Terrapins | 18c | 57.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinoisthis page
- Spread: Illinois (-14.5)Illinois won
- Spread: Illinois (-15.5)Illinois won
- Spread: Illinois (-16.5)Illinois won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.