Tennis · resolved market
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Yannick Hanfmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23754acd16b687de7d3ddca760e300aa612fd86ae318922dd4709e1a7f1803dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanfmannof Molcan, Hanfmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Molcan | 1c | 3,136$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Hanfmann | 69c | 1,457$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.25 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Molcan | 31c | 1,357$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.52 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Molcan | 12c | 1,287$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hanfmann | 69c | 1,101$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.6 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Molcan | 28c | 1,097$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Molcan | 20c | 667.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…ac60backed Molcan | 35c | 465$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Molcan | 22c | 448.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Molcan | 35c | 415.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Molcan | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d53…95e1backed Molcan | 35c | 332.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Hanfmann | 73c | 269$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…3298backed Molcan | 4c | 255.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Molcan | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Hanfmann | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Molcan | 10c | 149.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Hanfmann | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…aa40backed Hanfmann | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Hanfmann | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…20e1backed Molcan | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Molcan | 27c | 122.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7915…f32fbacked Hanfmann | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…c0eebacked Molcan | 22c | 107.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0221…bd86backed Hanfmann | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…de9dbacked Molcan | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Hanfmann | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Hanfmann | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Hanfmann | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Molcan | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Hanfmann | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…3ae6backed Hanfmann | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Hanfmann | 70c | 52.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Molcan | 35c | 50.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Hanfmann | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…6e8abacked Hanfmann | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Hanfmann | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Hanfmann | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876c…7d86backed Hanfmann | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Hanfmann | 78c | 19.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Hanfmann | 73c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Hanfmann | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.