Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3b4b47eb3d189e89435e889cfdaa31adb71638daf884efb6f8abc211868dc9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c1c…f1a4backed No | 3c | 7,748$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 6c | 1,888$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 62c | 1,367$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 36c | 1,057$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.05 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 18c | 889.78$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked No | 25c | 760.39$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 8c | 680.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 49c | 635.39$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.3 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed No | 54c | 623.57$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.16 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 37c | 616.79$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.84 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 36c | 613.33$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.09 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…717ebacked Yes | 72c | 558.39$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 4c | 528.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 76c | 500$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 499.87$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed Yes | 75c | 459.71$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 400.02$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…8cbbbacked Yes | 35c | 386.41$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.38 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 57c | 385.73$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 375.93$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 365.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 34c | 364.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 35c | 340$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 51c | 336.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked No | 5c | 314.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 50c | 310.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 50c | 306.4$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.19 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 26c | 298.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 42c | 295.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 45c | 273.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 47c | 262.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.11 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 256.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…813bbacked Yes | 57c | 239.15$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 64c | 221.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 35c | 220.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…63d0backed No | 64c | 219.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…7dc3backed No | 54c | 210$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fd…54c7backed No | 69c | 195.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 40c | 182.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 64c | 180.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 14c | 179.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 44c | 176.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 43c | 149.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 32c | 141.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…50f0backed Yes | 35c | 141.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…e17fbacked No | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 132.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…f31cbacked Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 53c | 121.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 46c | 121$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…4562backed No | 17c | 116.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 61c | 115.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 52c | 109.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked No | 32c | 107.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed Yes | 40c | 101.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 60c | 101.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 33c | 100.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…e333backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Yes | 31c | 99.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked No | 50c | 99.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed No | 31c | 98.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 98.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 23c | 95.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 48c | 95.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 34c | 95.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 41c | 94.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 66c | 91.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 34c | 89.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…0511backed Yes | 58c | 86.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 29c | 86.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 65c | 85.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 33c | 81.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…e749backed Yes | 36c | 81.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe34d…41f0backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 30c | 79.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…8834backed Yes | 50c | 74.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 45c | 73.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 44c | 72.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…7f0fbacked Yes | 32c | 72.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…bd24backed Yes | 49c | 70.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 69.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 35c | 65.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 58c | 64.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 44c | 64.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 49c | 60.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 57c | 60.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 65c | 60.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 32c | 59.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 69c | 59.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 33c | 59.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 61c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked Yes | 71c | 54.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 29c | 54.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 66c | 54.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.