Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia Zakharova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e2ce4e01bbffb0ae61041d053c9afe9d7b0f4d276bfef84f9f40122c0e27b7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Muchovaof Karolina Muchova, Anastasia Zakharova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anastasia Zakharova | 10c | 18,124$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Anastasia Zakharova | 17c | 10,929$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.63 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Anastasia Zakharova | 10c | 9,149$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.76 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Anastasia Zakharova | 14c | 6,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anastasia Zakharova | 14c | 5,650$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Anastasia Zakharova | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Anastasia Zakharova | 15c | 3,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Anastasia Zakharova | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Anastasia Zakharova | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 10c | 2,492$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Anastasia Zakharova | 2c | 2,026$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Anastasia Zakharova | 15c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Anastasia Zakharova | 11c | 1,867$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.69 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Anastasia Zakharova | 15c | 1,777$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.88 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Anastasia Zakharova | 6c | 1,040$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Anastasia Zakharova | 12c | 793.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 11c | 749.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 736.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Anastasia Zakharova | 12c | 648.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…4847backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anastasia Zakharova | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Anastasia Zakharova | 13c | 425.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…4eb9backed Anastasia Zakharova | 13c | 383.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Anastasia Zakharova | 14c | 368.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Anastasia Zakharova | 12c | 313$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 11c | 256$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anastasia Zakharova | 12c | 243.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 241.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 235.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 6c | 213$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Anastasia Zakharova | 14c | 206$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Anastasia Zakharova | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Anastasia Zakharova | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Anastasia Zakharova | 10c | 175.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 7c | 163.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Anastasia Zakharova | 15c | 161.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 12c | 156$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Anastasia Zakharova | 13c | 141.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasia Zakharova | 11c | 127.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Anastasia Zakharova | 13c | 115.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Anastasia Zakharova | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…ec9fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 81.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia Zakharovathis page
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Zakharova (+1.5)Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.