MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12412d4db08dad91e4a5851b011935e53457caeb0f0c764047635dfa4b82e2b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 44c | 210,715$93,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,424.97 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 55c | 85,396$46,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,428.2 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 56c | 34,542$19,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,081.6 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 9,645$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,302.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 5,673$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 57c | 3,966$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.32 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 58c | 2,408$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 56c | 1,805$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.36 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 56c | 1,439$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.1 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 57c | 1,260$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 56c | 937$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 781.84$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 61c | 492.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 458.6$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 57c | 408.74$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 39c | 399.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 51c | 369.01$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 48c | 325.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 56c | 227$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 43c | 224$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 44c | 210.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 53c | 189.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 56c | 167.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 36c | 147.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 23c | 114.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 46c | 103.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 49c | 102.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 55c | 101.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 51c | 96.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 43c | 88.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 57c | 79.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Over | 52c | 63.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 38c | 57.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 50c | 53.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 39c | 53.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Over | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 41c | 46.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…d8f9backed Under | 53c | 43.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 69c | 43.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 60c | 38.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 56c | 36.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 49c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…fb0cbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 51c | 28.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 76c | 24.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 49c | 24.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 45c | 24.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 55c | 24.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 53c | 23.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Under | 44c | 23.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 54c | 20.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 63c | 17.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado RockiesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.