TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$421,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under47c385,450$182,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,556.9343647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over52c150,000$78,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,00035854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over53c87,607$46,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,175.1185645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c64,018$34,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,987.5911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over54c19,576$10,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,050.614,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c11,996$6,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,636.794,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over53c9,423$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,422.6334942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c9,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3201,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over54c8,429$4,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,877.4411849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over54c5,555$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.347953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c5,273$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.776,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over53c4,762$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.251,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c4,406$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.015,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over53c3,400$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5981,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c1,944$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.798,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under44c1,746$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.244,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over53c1,666$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.021,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over53c1,359$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.9718649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under47c1,246$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.622,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over54c1,167$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.0491252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over67c999.98$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.992454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over53c991$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.771,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under36c926$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.118,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over53c759$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.371,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over53c686.36$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.5956851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28285952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under17c502$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.836,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c467.61$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.988,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over54c367$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16738252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Under37c351.3$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.935,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14158652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over53c294.34$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.342360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over54c275.25$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.622,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over57c254.39$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.391,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under19c251$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.442,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over53c240$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.273849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over53c220$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.571,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Under46c215.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9410046%46 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4499744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9099447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8337…1b5bbacked Under47c187.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.941963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8265248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8237256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over54c139.96$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.382,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under17c132.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5944744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over54c128.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1534451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over52c127.25$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.082,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a4…fb64backed Under12c121.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Under46c103.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.619654.1%106 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under46c97.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.792,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c93.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over54c93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7813853.6%74 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Under47c92.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.69246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a6…7442backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c91.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Over54c90.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2917953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under46c89.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4154651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over53c85.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6942448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under47c84.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.784,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under38c78.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5474657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under46c77.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.32,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c71.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6897944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under47c70.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.933,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over63c66$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.423,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Under46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.920944%92 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x083c…65f2backed Over52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.361861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under20c52.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.575,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Under40c51.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3253644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c47.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.762,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over58c45.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9220156.2%113 W · 88 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under44c43.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3442047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under48c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9139250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Over53c37.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3913252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4539053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Under44c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9634639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Under47c33.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9814753.1%78 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Under47c31.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.858050%40 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over53c30.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.135849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2730960.2%186 W · 123 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under46c25.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf47f…15adbacked Under47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.757568%51 W · 24 L+10.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+25.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over54c23.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7411951.3%61 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over56c20.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.111,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.423750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over53c19.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.952852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.