MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda699f1aa77704fbbfe77257709ee6b0e174851eddb2463e6d865775e31373f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 385,450$182,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,556.93 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 52c | 150,000$78,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 53c | 87,607$46,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,175.11 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 64,018$34,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,987.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 19,576$10,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,050.61 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 11,996$6,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,636.79 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 53c | 9,423$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.63 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 54c | 8,429$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.44 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.3 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 5,273$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 53c | 4,762$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.25 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 4,406$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 1,944$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 44c | 1,746$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.24 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 1,666$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.02 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 53c | 1,359$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.97 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 47c | 1,246$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.62 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.04 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 53c | 991$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.77 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 36c | 926$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 759$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.37 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 53c | 686.36$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.59 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 17c | 502$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 467.61$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.98 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 54c | 367$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Under | 37c | 351.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 53c | 294.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 275.25$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 254.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 19c | 251$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 53c | 240$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 53c | 220$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 46c | 215.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…1b5bbacked Under | 47c | 187.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 54c | 139.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 17c | 132.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 54c | 128.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 127.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Under | 12c | 121.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Under | 46c | 103.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 46c | 97.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 93.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 47c | 92.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 91.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 54c | 90.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 46c | 89.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 53c | 85.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 84.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 38c | 78.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 46c | 77.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 71.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 47c | 70.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 20c | 52.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 40c | 51.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 58c | 45.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 44c | 43.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 53c | 37.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 47c | 33.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Under | 47c | 31.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 53c | 30.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 46c | 25.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…15adbacked Under | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 54c | 23.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 56c | 20.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 53c | 19.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.