MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97f4457f8f5ca23f2ea6791e02619be9ee73dd42e495bf8ec4fc733a5e89bee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 8,360$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.24 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 7,337$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.23 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 1,887$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,636$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.82 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,141$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 835.39$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.76 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 741.48$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.57 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 555.55$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.85 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 539.02$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.9 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 425.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 402.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.15 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 382.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 293.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 290.63$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 246.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 222.69$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 202.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Minnesota Twins | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 178.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 123.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 119.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 106.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 102.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 74.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 69.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 64.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 59.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 52.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…a3f6backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 42.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 36.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 35.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…a183backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 23.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6f76backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 23.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…8945backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 22.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…2b09backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 21.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…e62abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 21.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 20.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…bfaabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Minnesota Twins | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.