TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under48c139,261$66,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,895.158937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over52c100,000$52,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over53c17,674$9,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,367.1310463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c6,166$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.761,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over53c3,908$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.0424347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over58c3,405$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.912165.3%79 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6206154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c2,627$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.3489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over54c2,390$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.632049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c2,243$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.8123245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under16c2,133$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.7234726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Over53c1,318$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.544533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over53c1,269$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.5741145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over57c1,218$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.4412045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under52c1,162$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.3214353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Over47c1,063$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d86…537abacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Under50c892.48$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over72c836.55$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.111,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over53c683.94$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.4913147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over33c676$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.3824852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Under50c630$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c402.25$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1278548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over53c313.01$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8128140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under31c306.08$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0761042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over52c306$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0618746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Over77c239.22$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over51c229.19$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.898447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Under74c229$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4212144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10531448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10536454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0830649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over53c196.23$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over52c174$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4812345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under53c169.91$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8692248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under32c169.14$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.741147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Under49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61090%9 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.41per pick49cpaid+84.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Over57c159.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.012524%6 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.526247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over35c136$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.637650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over25c132.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1112216.4%20 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over54c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.411351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.43351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x083c…65f2backed Over52c113.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.281070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+106%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under38c113$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0625246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over74c110.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.358148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.257150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2523955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015553.5%83 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.259146.2%42 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe935…3991backed Over52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c88.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0583748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over58c86.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509160.4%55 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over53c81.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.361560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under26c78.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7534753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c67.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3571245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5527049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under26c63.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5855255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Over49c60.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014948.3%72 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x658b…ad0fbacked Under56c57.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.145246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under75c55.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8710858.3%63 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under47c53.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6932346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over35c51.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c50.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1839947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c50.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1864152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over48c49.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9928558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under24c43.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.69650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under41c40.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0637850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under47c39.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2426147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over35c39.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.813372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under39c39.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.996827.9%19 W · 49 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-41.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under50c36.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.38850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over53c34.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.544546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.347646.1%35 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x382f…4c26backed Over53c32.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over55c31.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0314450%72 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over53c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.439348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8515748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.317143.9%75 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.323644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ae…5310backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159851%50 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over53c28.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.171266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.849430.9%29 W · 65 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under51c23.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.597248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under50c20.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0211242.9%48 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under75c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.514936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.