TailMyPicks
Market

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Seattle Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Seattle Storm63c23,542$14,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,8916567.7%44 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Dream51c13,125$6,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,445.5136754%198 W · 169 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm49c5,532$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.11,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Atlanta Dream38c4,896$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.3812045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Dream49c4,249$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.2734826.4%92 W · 256 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaed0…6f18backed Atlanta Dream49c3,995$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.653250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Seattle Storm50c3,867$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream63c3,810$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9723149.4%114 W · 117 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Seattle Storm49c3,391$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.4414454.2%78 W · 66 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm49c3,072$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.2893248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Seattle Storm45c2,828$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.5613538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream49c2,681$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.779648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Dream36c2,594$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.7526147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Atlanta Dream51c2,004$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.929047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Seattle Storm49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98013746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Atlanta Dream51c1,824$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.9314346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Seattle Storm51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm48c1,789$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.2690449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Seattle Storm52c1,606$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.966338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Dream41c1,596$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1631443%135 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta Dream47c1,561$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.2724852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Atlanta Dream53c1,542$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.825933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Atlanta Dream45c1,399$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.2516141%66 W · 95 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream56c1,295$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5741,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Seattle Storm42c1,025$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.57643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed Seattle Storm50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Seattle Storm51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Atlanta Dream53c945.1$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.786750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Dream25c919$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.7410858.3%63 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Atlanta Dream51c814.98$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.1212355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Atlanta Dream56c809.96$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.3621440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Seattle Storm50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Seattle Storm2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…d696backed Seattle Storm51c712.76$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm50c700.16$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.1785948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc83…fdd4backed Seattle Storm57c617.9$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.181471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Dream54c606.68$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.732749.5%162 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Atlanta Dream62c573$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7512245.1%55 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Atlanta Dream72c540$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.410838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Atlanta Dream50c516$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2589554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Seattle Storm50c502.35$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.183450%17 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Atlanta Dream52c494.73$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.4739045.9%179 W · 211 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Dream47c490.45$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7437650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Atlanta Dream38c487.34$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.42524%6 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Seattle Storm48c410.44$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Atlanta Dream25c409.83$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Atlanta Dream21c394.87$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.952240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Atlanta Dream55c368.64$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.891030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Atlanta Dream52c357.6$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.1965751.4%338 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm59c353.64$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2485158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Atlanta Dream58c345.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.616153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Seattle Storm45c329$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5111351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Atlanta Dream29c324$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.162040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Seattle Storm51c313.5$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.894431.8%14 W · 30 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Seattle Storm45c307$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.499146.2%42 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Atlanta Dream62c300.79$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.394148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Atlanta Dream45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1653948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Seattle Storm49c261$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0824255.4%134 W · 108 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Dream55c259$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7424847.6%118 W · 130 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bb…4d1ebacked Seattle Storm51c241.78$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Atlanta Dream23c220$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.82634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Seattle Storm50c213.82$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.247150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Dream55c212.47$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6123245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Atlanta Dream47c211.47$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8715748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked Atlanta Dream23c196.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.481747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Seattle Storm51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Atlanta Dream51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Seattle Storm28c190.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4628140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Seattle Storm46c179$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3231249.4%154 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Atlanta Dream51c172.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.554946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Atlanta Dream21c159$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.612842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Seattle Storm47c139.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Atlanta Dream55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.363946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Atlanta Dream54c126.65$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.263644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Atlanta Dream21c120$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.83231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd2…87f4backed Atlanta Dream21c120$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Atlanta Dream44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.69444.7%42 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Atlanta Dream55c101.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7112345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Storm43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2933347.7%159 W · 174 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Seattle Storm29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Seattle Storm50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Seattle Storm50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.59851%50 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Atlanta Dream33c95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7315337.9%58 W · 95 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Seattle Storm49c94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0618441.8%77 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Atlanta Dream21c87.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.372352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Atlanta Dream33c85.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.745463%34 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Seattle Storm50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Atlanta Dream51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4314350.3%72 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Atlanta Dream62c74.97$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.198148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream55c73.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9476142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aea…34b7backed Seattle Storm55c71.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Seattle Storm29c70.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.241414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-76.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Seattle Storm52c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.827649.6%137 W · 139 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream51c64.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Seattle Storm49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014948.3%72 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Atlanta Dream49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.226640.9%27 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Atlanta Dream30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Seattle Storm49c59.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2630054%162 W · 138 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Atlanta Dream51c58.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.337160.6%43 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdca4…806fbacked Seattle Storm46c54.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.