WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc169be5dfcb0ea67f66428ba19659eafff3f79fc298b786b70777570eebc4f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Atlanta Dream, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 890.3$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.15 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 528$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 528$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 311.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 311.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 289.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 274$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…6d0abacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 59c | 190$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 186.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Seattle Storm | 17c | 139.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Seattle Storm | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b2…ba55backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 61c | 91.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 45.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 35.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 24.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.