WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8722679f022bfbaec3363df6449b0e2a90c9c9bad79642d3c0f94760bad645d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 24,326$11,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,510.97 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 50c | 11,111$5,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.42 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 6,458$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.03 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Under | 50c | 6,003$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 5,910$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.58 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.44 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Over | 52c | 3,700$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.99 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 54c | 3,653$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.62 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 2,851$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.69 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 52c | 2,425$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.51 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 52c | 2,327$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 2,222$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 2,077$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.48 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 2,055$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.11 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 52c | 1,094$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.07 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 51c | 880$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 48c | 767.54$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.12 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 528.84$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.71 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 458$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 394.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 51c | 355.2$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 49c | 266.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 50c | 237.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 36c | 217.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 216.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 51c | 215.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…02b1backed Under | 52c | 190.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 54c | 92.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 22c | 82.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 49c | 55.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 48c | 52.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 49c | 50.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 46.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 59c | 30.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Over | 47c | 30.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1d…78d4backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…a677backed Under | 53c | 28.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 51c | 24.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 48c | 20.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 52c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 66c | 15.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 169.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.