WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd931cda3db501b65ab8ec8962a16d870c4c9b165679a05670f208c38406f5f92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 205,528$96,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,995.68 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 53c | 200,000$106,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 50c | 8,038$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.21 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 7,425$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.11 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 6,000$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.89 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 51c | 3,528$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.44 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 2,854$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.3 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 2,643$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.71 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 2,241$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.5 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 53c | 2,210$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 49c | 1,988$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.32 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Over | 1c | 1,950$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 54c | 1,773$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.03 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.22 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 1,010$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.77 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 79c | 999.9$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.92 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 52c | 957.46$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.88 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 881.63$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.63 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 588.46$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.13 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 32c | 442.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.83 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 16c | 440.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.97 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 20c | 431.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.1 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Under | 45c | 340$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Over | 77c | 302.18$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 51c | 279.63$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 47c | 210.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Over | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Over | 57c | 175.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 51c | 150.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 15c | 146$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 129.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 23c | 128.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 54c | 126.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 47c | 107$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 12c | 97.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 11c | 91.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 57c | 87.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 49c | 86.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 26c | 77.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 68.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 48c | 66.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 49c | 61.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 76c | 59.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 47c | 58.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 53.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 24c | 52.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7c…a9b9backed Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 49.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 56c | 44.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 44c | 44.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 44.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 54c | 44.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 78c | 42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Under | 45c | 34.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 47c | 31.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed Under | 37c | 30.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…4c26backed Over | 57c | 30.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Over | 79c | 25.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over | 61c | 24.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 53c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Over | 80c | 19.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.