WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fae71ec3b8907d4f234e704b17903d29899d8b52b382f89461f02c27dbb3c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Atlanta Dream, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 20,422$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,422.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 11,394$6,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,152.53 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 6,530$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Seattle Storm | 41c | 4,570$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.39 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 3,540$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.98 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 3,463$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.22 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 3,410$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 2,354$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.52 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 2,302$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.02 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 2,298$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 2,262$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.65 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 1,819$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 1,451$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.09 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 1,394$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.26 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Atlanta Dream | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 1,141$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.98 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,024$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.36 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 1,012$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.73 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 999.91$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.96 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 861.76$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.5 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 848.3$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.08 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Seattle Storm | 36c | 745.32$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.4 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 676.74$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.15 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Atlanta Dream | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 585$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.35 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 568$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 436.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Atlanta Dream | 4c | 377.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 62c | 370.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.35 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 281.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 219.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 206.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 154.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Atlanta Dream | 19c | 132.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 57c | 120.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 115.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 100.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atlanta Dream | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 99.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Seattle Storm | 24c | 80.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 77.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 76.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Seattle Storm | 43c | 69.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 68.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 63.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 60.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 60.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 56.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 41.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 41.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 33.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…a677backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 32.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 22.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 22.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 22.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.