MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9814613f36b8e2e25e12b2114024d5261bb54142624656c4832f83b07b86c143

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $404,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $404,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,057 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under	48c	369,706$175,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193,897.25	444	46.8%208 W · 236 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over	52c	220,000$114,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114,400	358	54.5%195 W · 163 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	53c	24,919$13,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,208.35	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	53c	22,099$11,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,703.6	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	52c	16,974$8,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,907.36	4,368	47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L	-79.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	53c	13,012$6,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,831.79	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	54c	11,747$6,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,286.23	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over	55c	9,588$5,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,273.21	505	53.5%270 W · 235 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	54c	6,999$3,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,744.72	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	52c	6,581$3,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,435.68	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	55c	6,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	447	49.2%220 W · 227 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	53c	5,795$3,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,073.64	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	54c	4,728$2,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,538.97	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over	53c	3,774$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	792	47.5%376 W · 416 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	54c	3,200$1,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,723.23	1,922	53.4%1,027 W · 895 L	+28.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over	53c	2,054$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.99	2,588	61.5%1,591 W · 997 L	+72.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	54c	2,051$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100.73	2,311	51%1,179 W · 1,132 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under	53c	2,000$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$949.96	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	56c	1,651$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.3	686	52.9%363 W · 323 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over	53c	1,355$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.64	455	45.7%208 W · 247 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	1,315$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.33	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	53c	1,207$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.57	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	44c	1,131$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.57	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over	56c	1,071$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	662	50.2%332 W · 330 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over	54c	1,034$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.27	657	49.2%323 W · 334 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Over	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	169	45%76 W · 93 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	65c	998.64$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.86	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over	35c	738.49$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.54	4,187	50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L	+94.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under	46c	637.79$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.53	520	45.2%235 W · 285 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	53c	625.83$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.89	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over	51c	597$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.47	1,848	49.6%917 W · 931 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over	55c	572.73$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	186	49.5%92 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over	54c	423.7$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.8	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	53c	383$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.99	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over	54c	366.65$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.44	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff7…2e67backed Over	55c	361.71$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over	54c	335.64$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.25	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Over	55c	313.77$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.02	246	57.3%141 W · 105 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	52c	254.75$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.73	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	52c	252$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.04	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	55c	233.85$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.46	1,278	57%728 W · 550 L	+33.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	382	52.1%199 W · 183 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	54c	200$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	2,413	49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L	+22.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	45c	197.8$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.79	736	50.7%373 W · 363 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over	40c	191.04$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.97	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over	55c	191$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.05	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	54c	189.15$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.14	1,635	49.3%806 W · 829 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over	53c	188.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	356	43.5%155 W · 201 L	-17.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	372	56.5%210 W · 162 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab72…eae9backed Under	62c	162.9$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.9	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over	48c	162.89$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.77	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Under	62c	161$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.18	356	68.8%245 W · 111 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over	45c	148.18$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.27	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over	39c	144$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.16	344	43.9%151 W · 193 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Over	53c	137.86$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.07	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Over	55c	130.1$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.91	351	49.3%173 W · 178 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29f…dc4ebacked Over	55c	125.51$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.41	85	45.9%39 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Over	23c	124.45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.97	234	35%82 W · 152 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Over	54c	103$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.61	151	45.7%69 W · 82 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed Over	55c	100.41$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.73	152	52%79 W · 73 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	292	42.5%124 W · 168 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over	13c	96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	1,939	41.2%799 W · 1,140 L	-30.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	55c	94.33$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.88	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over	54c	81.81$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.18	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under	45c	77.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.89	688	46.8%322 W · 366 L	+9.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	44c	77.19$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.23	647	52.4%339 W · 308 L	+28.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	53c	73.01$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.69	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over	56c	71.42$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	443	47.9%212 W · 231 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	53c	71$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	392	53.6%210 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Under	57c	70.26$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.26	97	61.9%60 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over	48c	59.33$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	153	49%75 W · 78 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	53c	58.74$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.13	1,737	49.1%852 W · 885 L	+7.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85fc…cf7cbacked Over	53c	56.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	267	47.9%128 W · 139 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over	57c	44.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	46c	42.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.03	2,995	47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L	+12.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	247	42.9%106 W · 141 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under	56c	39.46$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.36	453	58.7%266 W · 187 L	+20.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under	44c	39.08$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.83	172	55.8%96 W · 76 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	39c	38.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.19	1,819	49.3%896 W · 923 L	-24.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc39a…69b1backed Over	54c	36.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Over	54c	36.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	516	56.6%292 W · 224 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under	46c	35.43$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.13	396	53.5%212 W · 184 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over	53c	35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	147	45.6%67 W · 80 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Over	54c	35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	45c	33.9$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x409d…8f47backed Under	46c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	110	50.9%56 W · 54 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under	47c	31.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.96	392	50.3%197 W · 195 L	+18.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x382f…4c26backed Over	54c	31.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over	55c	31.62$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	1,040	51.8%539 W · 501 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…8c25backed Under	56c	31.22$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.84	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	37cpaid	+83.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over	54c	30.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.27	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb76…28f3backed Under	45c	27.93$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.36	75	42.7%32 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over	54c	27.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Over	54c	26.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	102	52%53 W · 49 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over	54c	26.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	170	47.1%80 W · 90 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5this page
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati RedsPhiladelphia Phillies won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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