MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9fcad8ae9f0600c56f1a8aa8e3579208bc6c145883f18cbb3923e4252b54e17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 100,000$60,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,299.99 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 85,247$32,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,197.73 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 75,319$32,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,675.23 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 20,000$12,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,859.99 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 18,363$9,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,532.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 14,027$7,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,603.7 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 12,798$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.08 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 12,763$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.41 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 12,273$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.51 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 9,647$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730.74 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 6,967$4,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.86 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 6,651$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 4,724$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.46 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 4,444$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.48 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 4,184$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.49 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 4,077$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 4,073$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.31 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 4,062$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.26 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,857$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.53 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 2,352$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.74 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,908$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,639$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.26 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 1,488$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,329$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.57 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 1,320$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,078$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,073$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.04 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,068$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.72 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 999.95$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.98 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 999.69$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.17 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 988.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.47 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 822.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.37 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 816.79$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 744.6$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.31 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 641$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ee…a1ffbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 640$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 614.85$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.62 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 601.53$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.27 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 557.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 539.17$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.84 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 532.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 510$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 500$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 493.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.64 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 483.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 444.17$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 339.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 331.28$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.53 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 328.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…352dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 321.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 313.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…27c3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 295.32$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 287.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 279.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 273.69$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 257.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 251.8$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 240$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 228.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 220.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 220$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 218.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 215.93$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 214.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 214.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 206.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 190.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 175.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 175.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 171.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…31a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 164.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 169 | 62.7%106 W · 63 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 164.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 164.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…5e36backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 164.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 164.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 161.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 160.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 155$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 153.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 153.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 151.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…b29abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 147.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 136.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 134.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 134.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 131.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a6…ce63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 131.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 115.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9a2bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 114.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 113.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 110.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 109.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…8eb6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.