MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0978062817e92e9ca76aa7a9f7c81682d8a9a9180acb3585b9fad004451416f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 223,681$108,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,123.41 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 51c | 107,811$54,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,983.45 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 73,444$38,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,279.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 52,725$24,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,944.07 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 18,174$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,995.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 16,736$9,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,204.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 14,351$7,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,606.03 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 14,028$7,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,294.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 52c | 12,700$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,604 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 8,491$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 4,609$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.77 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 51c | 4,534$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.67 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 4,348$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 3,926$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.67 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 45c | 2,962$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.13 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 2,792$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 2,778$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 1,514$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.28 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 50c | 1,194$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 51c | 1,183$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.31 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Over | 50c | 1,072$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.17 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 53c | 1,058$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.38 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 51c | 911.18$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.7 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 768.29$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.06 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 48c | 755$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.4 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 53c | 650.94$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 52c | 601.08$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.56 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 52c | 601.08$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.56 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 600$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 53c | 534.38$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.22 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 49c | 532.02$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.69 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 509$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.68 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 476.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 53c | 433.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 419.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 51c | 419.61$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.61 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 16c | 407.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 40c | 347.13$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 315.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 51c | 312$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.27 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 61c | 295$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.03 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 54c | 203.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 51c | 195.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 24c | 190.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 180.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 53c | 170.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 21c | 167.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 71c | 165.18$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 53c | 165$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 53c | 140.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 36c | 128.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 31c | 124.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 39c | 113$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 53c | 96.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 53c | 88.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 52c | 82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 40c | 70.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Under | 48c | 62.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 56c | 59.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 68c | 53.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 52c | 49.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 53c | 47.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 52c | 47.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 48c | 40.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 52c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Over | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 53c | 37.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.