MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae032b522c5066bfffc645ec52dece0c1d110083558f66710738c91c40f78135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Los Angeles Dodgers, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 18,579$10,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,466.29 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 18c | 7,502$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.98 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 7,299$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 6,062$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 5,257$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.18 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 4,529$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.66 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 3,257$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,176$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 3,169$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 2,209$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.71 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,122$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.24 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 69c | 1,906$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 18c | 1,525$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.57 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,121$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.74 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 1,047$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.78 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 836.17$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 571$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.37 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 472.71$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.81 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 468.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 409.89$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 359$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 328.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 240.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 218.51$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 169.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 161.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 159.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 157.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 9c | 150.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 112.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 111.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 110.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 77.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 76.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 70.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 66.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 66.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 66.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…5fb7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 61.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 60.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 18c | 57.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 55.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…e4dabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 48.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…44fdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 22c | 45.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 42.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 28.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 28.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 28.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 25.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 18.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.