MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92777779b1ed60e0e1d2b5f834a710788856e2960391ddc123aba4d84b4a0c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $404,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 368,778$168,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,444.05 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 54c | 200,000$108,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 58c | 61,514$35,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,507.03 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 54c | 47,087$25,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,427.12 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 55c | 26,865$14,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,775.84 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 55c | 8,962$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.1 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 34c | 8,149$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.68 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 55c | 4,770$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.39 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Under | 59c | 3,898$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 2,256$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.12 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 2,127$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.36 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 33c | 2,023$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.91 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 1,490$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.24 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 34c | 1,427$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.15 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 34c | 1,420$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.53 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…d264backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 966.03$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.4 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 46c | 950$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 947.53$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.76 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 55c | 888$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 56c | 881.13$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 40c | 653$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.64 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 55c | 630.04$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.52 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 604.4$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.02 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 34c | 555$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 55c | 545.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 56c | 511$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.92 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 40c | 509.28$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.71 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 43c | 499.95$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.97 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Under | 63c | 476.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 55c | 447.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Under | 55c | 392.73$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 390$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 57c | 352.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 35c | 346.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.62 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 55c | 340$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 34c | 314.91$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 34c | 306.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.33 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 55c | 293.68$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.52 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 35c | 274.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 45c | 267.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 59c | 199.66$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 56c | 193.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 62c | 143.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 34c | 137.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…69b1backed Under | 60c | 124.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Under | 56c | 114.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 462 | 51.7%239 W · 223 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Under | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 107.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 50c | 104.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 40c | 100.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 56c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 55c | 99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 34c | 93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Under | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee7…fb13backed Over | 68c | 88.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 35c | 87.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 57c | 87.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…53babacked Under | 55c | 84.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 56c | 83.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 42c | 83.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…f4ddbacked Under | 55c | 81.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 80c | 81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 34c | 81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 55c | 78.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Over | 34c | 77.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Over | 34c | 65.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 392 | 53.6%210 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…3728backed Under | 59c | 58.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 34c | 57.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed Under | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…cf7cbacked Under | 54c | 55.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 57c | 54.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed Under | 57c | 53.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 247 | 63.6%157 W · 90 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 40c | 50.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…6f39backed Under | 63c | 50.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.8wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea4…e5c9backed Over | 40c | 49.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…e407backed Under | 56c | 48.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 35c | 39.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Over | 42c | 39.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…0bd7backed Under | 62c | 37.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4f…5ec9backed Under | 55c | 36.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.