MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7ebf199cf4bb394c671ee2cced56d604ca4e9233426b3911939255549e58ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 45c | 80,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 55c | 76,771$42,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,546.95 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.97 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 62c | 7,273$4,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.76 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 38c | 6,733$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 45c | 4,509$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.94 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 45c | 3,661$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.37 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 3,652$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 45c | 3,559$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.42 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 45c | 2,669$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.05 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 2,592$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.11 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 19c | 2,392$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,199$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.35 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 2,046$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.77 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 2,003$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 1,422$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Under | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 52c | 1,213$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.25 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 987.33$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.92 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 950.94$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.94 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…ca40backed Under | 45c | 681.81$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.81 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Under | 44c | 669.05$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.38 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 657$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 55c | 613.12$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.9 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 49c | 598.63$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.3 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 55c | 585$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 55c | 502.73$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 45c | 408$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Over | 55c | 383.64$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 57c | 354$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…e0e7backed Under | 45c | 303$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 299.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 47c | 297$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 31c | 198$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 51c | 196.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 195.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 187.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 53c | 185$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…c1c9backed Under | 52c | 142.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 17c | 142.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Under | 63c | 136.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 129.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 55c | 126$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 113$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 48c | 112.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Under | 54c | 94.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 85.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 46c | 83.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 50c | 72.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 49c | 67.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 64.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 49c | 64.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 20c | 52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 24.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 320 | 54.1%173 W · 147 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 74c | 16.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.