TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,984
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,984 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Colorado Rockies63c139,885$88,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,049.371,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants38c45,660$17,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,089.8610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants37c35,009$13,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,984.4311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants36c9,991$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,394.11,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked San Francisco Giants36c9,434$3,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,037.746747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed San Francisco Giants69c7,805$5,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.1123255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked San Francisco Giants37c5,898$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,744.682,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants38c5,652$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.778,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants36c4,415$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.63,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8201…8a41backed Colorado Rockies64c4,167$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.44247.6%20 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5605,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed San Francisco Giants29c3,450$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.6630242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies66c2,428$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.044,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed San Francisco Giants36c2,290$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.491,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants36c1,625$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.766,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed San Francisco Giants50c1,529$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.3817545.7%80 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants40c1,455$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants34c1,216$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.716,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants37c1,021$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.52,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7101,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants36c975$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6241,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed San Francisco Giants34c898.32$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.2697050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed San Francisco Giants36c833.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3364452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants36c556$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.022,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed San Francisco Giants28c535.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.3729549.8%147 W · 148 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed San Francisco Giants37c448.48$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.463,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed San Francisco Giants36c432.61$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8765549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed San Francisco Giants36c431$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.841,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants36c417.32$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.368,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked San Francisco Giants37c404$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5241051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants28c307.27$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.584,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed San Francisco Giants37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18958652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Colorado Rockies33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9922831.6%72 W · 156 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants36c256$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.591,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed San Francisco Giants37c255$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.658245.1%37 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants36c252.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.412,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed San Francisco Giants35c247.67$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9979255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a4…9779backed Colorado Rockies64c242.19$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants32c239.16$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.25,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants37c237.4$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.292,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants58c161$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.382,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked San Francisco Giants37c158.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1219335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Colorado Rockies64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed San Francisco Giants36c146.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.453557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants36c137$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6892054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked San Francisco Giants72c135.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.292060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants37c132.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.744,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Colorado Rockies60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Colorado Rockies64c125$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Colorado Rockies63c119.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5950647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed San Francisco Giants38c111.7$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.181,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Colorado Rockies64c109.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7067449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb9…40d7backed San Francisco Giants46c109.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.111656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants39c105$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.19,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed San Francisco Giants36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6473849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked San Francisco Giants36c96.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5458649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Colorado Rockies36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Colorado Rockies50c79.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.111,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Colorado Rockies65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked San Francisco Giants51c76.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.321,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants35c74.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.742,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed San Francisco Giants36c69.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3952852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Colorado Rockies56c63.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.771,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c49…1862backed Colorado Rockies63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035353.8%190 W · 163 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Colorado Rockies64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4046659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed San Francisco Giants48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed San Francisco Giants36c62.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8920654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed San Francisco Giants38c61.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1250954%275 W · 234 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked San Francisco Giants34c61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2615145.7%69 W · 82 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked San Francisco Giants36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.272,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked San Francisco Giants40c58.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2915349%75 W · 78 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants42c52.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.346,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Colorado Rockies60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3082636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed San Francisco Giants36c46.72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.921152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef6…d18fbacked Colorado Rockies28c46.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2145348.6%220 W · 233 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef27…3d89backed Colorado Rockies22c44.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked San Francisco Giants65c41.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7645952.9%243 W · 216 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Colorado Rockies58c40.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6970546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked San Francisco Giants39c39.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.259341.9%39 W · 54 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Colorado Rockies45c31.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610642.5%45 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed San Francisco Giants37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.939250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies54c24.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.375,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked San Francisco Giants45c22.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4987370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Colorado Rockies63c22.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1489950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Colorado Rockies47c21.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0713946.8%65 W · 74 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b90…43ffbacked Colorado Rockies65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Colorado Rockies60c19.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124975.5%37 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Colorado Rockies64c15.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa579…2c60backed Colorado Rockies65c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.16580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Colorado Rockies64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011743.6%51 W · 66 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.