WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9bd7496c5c79820149262b4e7cd7289535da3d510e64c825da62f55263f5965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Washington Mystics, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 3,779$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd086…5006backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 2,024$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,625$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.87 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.19 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 896.83$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 830.56$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.39 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 781.53$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.4 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 594$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…5c6abacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 160.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 114.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 56.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 46.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 33.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.