WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x410e5bf75b189d3ce074ceaa0b79ed14ebd1c6effda82eb49f646e16171f0248
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 70c | 3,359$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.89 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 29c | 1,486$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.91 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 23c | 634.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 511.62$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Over | 54c | 349.64$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 78c | 318.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 45c | 305.82$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 57c | 209.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 38c | 186.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 44c | 132.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 124.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 66c | 113.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 104.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 40c | 103.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 99.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Under | 53c | 93.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 42c | 81.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Over | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Over | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 55c | 62.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 60.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 54.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 23c | 52.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 65c | 49.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 26c | 47.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 38c | 42.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 66c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Over | 57c | 36.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Over | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 49c | 30.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 55c | 29.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Over | 73c | 26.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 51c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.