WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668a0043c518c84e763f8fafd30b92babe454da5e8b9e20635486f83c1eed3b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 6,592$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.28 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Storm | 58c | 4,494$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.11 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 44c | 1,851$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.33 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Washington Mystics | 57c | 391.45$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 208.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Washington Mystics | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm | 67c | 184$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 168.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 149.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Seattle Storm | 58c | 134.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Seattle Storm | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm | 44c | 75.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 70.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Washington Mystics | 29c | 50.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Storm | 44c | 47.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 47.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 39.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 38.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 29.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 29.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 23.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 22.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.