WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1030a86ec306f14c9bf5ea0b3b488ec1ac9cf8ad896f763c0b637cbe28ae877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Seattle Storm | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 2,319$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.03 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Washington Mystics | 63c | 1,585$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.56 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…89bcbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 820.92$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Storm | 38c | 600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.23 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Storm | 41c | 422$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 267.83$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 254$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 56c | 238.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.76 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Washington Mystics | 32c | 233.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Seattle Storm | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Washington Mystics | 35c | 192.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…1c4ebacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 174.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Seattle Storm | 39c | 152.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 128.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Seattle Storm | 42c | 127.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 76.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Washington Mystics | 59c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm | 67c | 64.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Storm | 68c | 63.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…cd3cbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 61.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 37.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 34.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 31.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Washington Mystics | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Washington Mystics | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 24.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.