TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Segovia: Takuya Kumasaka vs Luka Pavlovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luka Pavlovicof Takuya Kumasaka, Luka Pavlovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Takuya Kumasaka47c19,205$8,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,953.98,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Luka Pavlovic48c7,582$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,939.776,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Takuya Kumasaka43c6,789$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,89071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Luka Pavlovic71c4,975$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.5413253%70 W · 62 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luka Pavlovic67c3,789$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.518,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Luka Pavlovic38c2,140$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.7820444.6%91 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Takuya Kumasaka29c2,085$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.272450%12 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Luka Pavlovic59c1,945$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.974,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa192…8876backed Takuya Kumasaka35c1,722$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Takuya Kumasaka34c1,383$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.123,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Luka Pavlovic70c1,241$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.43,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Luka Pavlovic52c1,137$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.521,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Luka Pavlovic59c1,048$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.1613946.8%65 W · 74 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Takuya Kumasaka47c915.49$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.9982958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Luka Pavlovic59c851.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.1962457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Luka Pavlovic69c830.04$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.315644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Takuya Kumasaka24c794$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5656827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Luka Pavlovic48c761$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.721,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Takuya Kumasaka12c649.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.12,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…3c88backed Luka Pavlovic70c642.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8619051.6%98 W · 92 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Luka Pavlovic38c641.01$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.4231237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Takuya Kumasaka29c629.22$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9424229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Takuya Kumasaka44c549.83$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.61,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Luka Pavlovic57c525$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7529649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Takuya Kumasaka30c426.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.11,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Takuya Kumasaka31c411.06$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.432,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Luka Pavlovic70c396$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.51,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Luka Pavlovic36c372.22$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.2257950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Luka Pavlovic56c356$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.231,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Takuya Kumasaka29c350.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007829.5%23 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe256…db21backed Luka Pavlovic62c322.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.293450%17 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Luka Pavlovic39c307.69$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6947252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Luka Pavlovic35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7188935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Takuya Kumasaka31c257.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8644442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Luka Pavlovic48c252.02$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0555149.7%274 W · 277 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Luka Pavlovic71c248.54$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.664860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Takuya Kumasaka25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Luka Pavlovic73c232.84$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.762,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Luka Pavlovic45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2236640.7%149 W · 217 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Takuya Kumasaka44c221.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.528954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Takuya Kumasaka25c218.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.917,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f80…2bbcbacked Takuya Kumasaka29c215.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Luka Pavlovic48c208$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1656153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Luka Pavlovic51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989640.6%39 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Luka Pavlovic51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9812746.5%59 W · 68 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Luka Pavlovic51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987847.4%37 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Luka Pavlovic51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987245.8%33 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed Luka Pavlovic51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988840.9%36 W · 52 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9845…9d6fbacked Luka Pavlovic51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986432.8%21 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2973…ef36backed Luka Pavlovic51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Luka Pavlovic51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9814047.1%66 W · 74 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Takuya Kumasaka25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked Luka Pavlovic51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987939.2%31 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed Luka Pavlovic51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988441.7%35 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Luka Pavlovic72c198.43$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5611145.9%51 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Luka Pavlovic42c187$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4635558.6%208 W · 147 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Takuya Kumasaka45c185.7$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.271,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Luka Pavlovic51c182$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1817136.3%62 W · 109 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Takuya Kumasaka31c180$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.83644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Luka Pavlovic48c179.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4331842.5%135 W · 183 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Luka Pavlovic48c170.48$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6531948.9%156 W · 163 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Takuya Kumasaka31c165.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4558857.7%339 W · 249 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a9…e257backed Luka Pavlovic67c148.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.53850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Luka Pavlovic56c139.42$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.73,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Luka Pavlovic72c138.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9733551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Luka Pavlovic70c136.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.471,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Luka Pavlovic47c128.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4615349.7%76 W · 77 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Luka Pavlovic66c125.1$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.472,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b8…ff48backed Luka Pavlovic41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9510955%60 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Luka Pavlovic48c121.08$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9634957.9%202 W · 147 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Luka Pavlovic51c117.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6410931.2%34 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Luka Pavlovic45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1111559.1%68 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Takuya Kumasaka33c110.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.354,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Luka Pavlovic51c109$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4115733.1%52 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Luka Pavlovic51c109$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4114936.9%55 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Luka Pavlovic51c109$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.418530.6%26 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Takuya Kumasaka28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014036.4%51 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Luka Pavlovic51c106.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.029437.2%35 W · 59 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+3.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Takuya Kumasaka27c102.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.382,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebd9…bdc7backed Luka Pavlovic49c102.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.174542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Takuya Kumasaka26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Luka Pavlovic66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3453043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Takuya Kumasaka28c94.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1921838.1%83 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b3…879fbacked Takuya Kumasaka30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Luka Pavlovic69c81.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.282560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Luka Pavlovic68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5318968.8%130 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Luka Pavlovic69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4630647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Luka Pavlovic38c71.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.051,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Takuya Kumasaka31c70.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9920740.1%83 W · 124 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed Luka Pavlovic55c69.53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5323030.4%70 W · 160 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5429…83c2backed Takuya Kumasaka23c65.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520128.4%57 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Luka Pavlovic49c61.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.431,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34e6…e673backed Takuya Kumasaka30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-59.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Luka Pavlovic48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.229851.7%154 W · 144 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd9…90b2backed Luka Pavlovic51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.959532.6%31 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Luka Pavlovic71c53.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Luka Pavlovic69c52.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Luka Pavlovic74c51.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Takuya Kumasaka26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Luka Pavlovic72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2514257%81 W · 61 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.