Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a8873c4d3a0a216bfcf841acd1b250bbe72042940dcf19654680f2a710bd609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 5c | 3,875$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,238$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 1,075$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 4c | 736$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 491.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 10c | 470.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 30c | 464.62$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 70c | 454.45$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 21c | 449.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 21c | 350.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 12c | 350.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 23c | 348.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 78c | 257.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 79c | 256.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 78c | 253.09$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 12c | 245.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d475backed No | 80c | 177.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 21c | 163.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…b3d9backed Yes | 20c | 124.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 80c | 123.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 21c | 120.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 22c | 118.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 104.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…4f66backed No | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 65.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 61.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 21c | 54.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 76c | 49.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 80c | 26.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed No | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 15.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 15.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.