Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7549155a9390a106bc0198ad2140ee3bd196862805bce60fd0544aff6e35b23a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 30c | 20,625$6,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,185.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 13,987$11,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.23 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 70c | 11,111$7,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.28 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 8,049$5,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.97 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 7,090$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.64 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 19c | 3,609$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.23 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 2,440$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.82 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 70c | 2,109$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.7 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 1,904$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.13 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 1,844$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.33 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 1,593$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 1,585$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.08 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 31c | 1,546$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.3 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed No | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 80c | 905.01$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 30c | 811.41$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 603.47$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 15c | 590.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 515.95$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 509.99$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 30c | 479$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 23c | 334.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 69c | 325.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked No | 79c | 312.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 16c | 308.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 18c | 224.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed Yes | 14c | 188.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 180.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 12c | 169.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 18c | 152.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 147.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 42c | 135.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 30c | 121.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 119.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 43c | 113.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 98.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked No | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 69c | 96.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 19c | 92.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 89.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 70c | 89.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 19c | 84.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 20c | 76.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 76.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 32c | 74.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 30c | 60.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 31c | 57.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 30c | 57.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 21c | 57.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 30c | 53.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Yes | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 43.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 43.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 41c | 41.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 72c | 38.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 43c | 35.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 40c | 32.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 69c | 28.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked No | 70c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 72c | 15.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…02e6backed No | 80c | 14.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.