Fifa International · resolved market
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe76d4288811f1ce2571e0db54506f4c76814d2d2bc4c26a162723cdc1d489c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 20c | 254.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…b82bbacked Yes | 24c | 159.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 20c | 155.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…b3d9backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked No | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 80c | 30.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 75c | 29.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ali Ahmed: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ali Ahmed: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ali Ahmed: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 1+ shotsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 1+ shotsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 3+ shotsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 4+ shotsNo won
- Jacob Shaffelburg: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 4+ shotsNo won
- Liam Millar: 2+ goalsNo won
- Liam Millar: 3+ goalsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 2+ goalsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Promise David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Promise David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 1+ assistsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 2+ assistsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 2+ shotsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.