Fifa International · resolved market
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cb567b8601857844ea7f460775dbfe633f3280e6b36da580dff72993f2d77ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 79c | 1,851$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.8 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 76c | 1,640$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.57 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes | 22c | 1,480$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 375$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 23c | 331.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 17c | 285.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…f1c5backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 23c | 149$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Yes | 25c | 94.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 27c | 91.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 73c | 25.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 21.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 72c | 19.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 72c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cyle Larin: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ali Ahmed: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ali Ahmed: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ali Ahmed: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 1+ shotsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 1+ shotsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 3+ shotsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 4+ shotsNo won
- Jacob Shaffelburg: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 4+ shotsNo won
- Liam Millar: 2+ goalsNo won
- Liam Millar: 3+ goalsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 2+ goalsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Promise David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Promise David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 1+ assistsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 2+ assistsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 2+ shotsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.