Fifa International · resolved market
Jonathan David: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd260716e35d359d1d3fbc4099b78454b9c583364f36e368c9dd290ed3ae85cd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 9c | 1,163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 9c | 1,154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 9c | 868.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 8c | 609.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 8c | 543.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Yes | 8c | 287.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 9c | 279.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 8c | 267.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 8c | 140.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbeb…f499backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…bd7ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jonathan David: 2+ goalsthis page
- Ali Ahmed: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ali Ahmed: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ali Ahmed: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 1+ shotsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 1+ shotsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 3+ shotsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 4+ shotsNo won
- Jacob Shaffelburg: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 4+ shotsNo won
- Liam Millar: 2+ goalsNo won
- Liam Millar: 3+ goalsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 2+ goalsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Promise David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Promise David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 1+ assistsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 2+ assistsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 2+ shotsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tajon Buchanan: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.