TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55d7…888e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13255.3%73 W · 59 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$277.79
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.39
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$3.81
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$113.93
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$161.4
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$92.27
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Serghei Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.19
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.96
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.57
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Aleksandar Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.55
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Vlasto Cepo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.46
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Milos Janicic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Abubakar Vagaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$10.48
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$18.03
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.38
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.49
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.58
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.46
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.