MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd63e7f882658ae3a10f9ffdee6091fec3a4ef7ce113accb41873e069dcab0c17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 57,639$26,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,895.04 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 56,957$29,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,339.12 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…55d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 19,999$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 11,241$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 6,693$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.51 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 4,450$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.38 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 3,339$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 3,214$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.62 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,297$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.75 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…b2aebacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 2,065$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…5e12backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,050$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…a4aebacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,353$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,307$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.35 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,081$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.47 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 875$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 775.5$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.49 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 758.73$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 599.88$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed San Diego Padres | 79c | 377$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 373.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 338.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 303.01$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 279.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 247.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 229.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 206.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 202$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 171.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 157.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 153.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…6b8dbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 138.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 138.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 117.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 112.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked San Diego Padres | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 97.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 92.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467d…2fdbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 80c | 80.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 76.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 76.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 71.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…18e5backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…421ebacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9490…3d24backed San Diego Padres | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 57.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2c…07b6backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 39.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…625cbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 214 | 64%137 W · 77 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…53d5backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 36.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 320 | 54.1%173 W · 147 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked San Diego Padres | 68c | 35.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 34.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 30.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…5edbbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 28.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…888ebacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 25.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…269ebacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 23.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 123 | 74%91 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.