MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a4898fab714ee8bb0463868416caa18dafda9b5d32566dbea1310e0430b8176
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 6,322$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.24 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 4,634$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.44 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 4,296$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.35 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.16 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 4,004$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 3,795$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,048$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,745$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.1 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 2,666$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Minnesota Twins | 13c | 2,403$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.3 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 2,252$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.35 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 1,928$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.4 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 24c | 1,738$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.18 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 1,572$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 1,569$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,325$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,272$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.54 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,072$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.1 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 957$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.21 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…c617backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 931.2$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 910.05$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.98 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 816.51$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.29 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 775.48$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.74 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 662.64$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 544.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 487.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.61 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 473.33$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.93 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 470.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.58 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 415.58$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.63 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 402.43$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.57 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Minnesota Twins | 23c | 400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 399.49$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 378.24$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 355.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.43 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 345$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 331.33$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 301.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.12 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 299.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 276.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 265.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 263.82$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 253.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.33 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…bafebacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 251.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 249.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 210.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 210$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Minnesota Twins | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 186.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 174$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 163.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 156.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 147.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 147.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 143.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 135.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 130.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…5da8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 122$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 118.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 118.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 110.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 108.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 107.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 100.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…acf3backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 99.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 97.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 93.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 90.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 88.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…8eebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 84.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 84.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 81.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 76.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 76.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 73.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 71.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 70.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 64.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.