TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 4.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,688 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99d7…6435backed Under76c815$619 inWon+$195.685851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec4d…7d02backed Over24c800$192 inLost-$192616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…3300backed Under74c268.62$200 inWon+$68.622556%14 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over26c225.99$59 inLost-$59.281,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under76c132.43$100 inWon+$32.431861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd62…39eabacked Under72c64.25$46 inWon+$17.991080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over25c55.84$14 inLost-$13.9614526.2%38 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over25c51.85$13 inLost-$13.186656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over27c49.99$14 inLost-$13.71,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Under73c47.54$35 inWon+$12.842147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cdb…4cc2backed Under72c19.44$14 inWon+$5.445100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.