Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0364f4257452be1eb698c9e2d1d8cd4d89cfae97720aebd2edec73d9c2238e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 33c | 2,003$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.94 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…a272backed Over | 68c | 1,647$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.03 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…9e71backed Over | 71c | 1,422$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 31c | 1,178$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.32 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 34c | 1,091$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.79 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.78 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Over | 70c | 987.33$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec04…1bcebacked Under | 31c | 832.09$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 801.52$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 431$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 431$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 32c | 406.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 66c | 315.66$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6838…6911backed Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 67c | 292.45$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 67c | 250.13$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 68c | 150.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 29c | 121.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 29c | 107$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…9f42backed Over | 67c | 101.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Over | 38c | 43.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x17bb…6506backed Under | 62c | 43.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…3818backed Under | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…dc09backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…34b4backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Take First CornerCanada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.