Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78245878fb525b956007914f7e1be7ba0e83cec9938f1cbd6ccbf3cfe32de11f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 60c | 2,013$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd996…ce40backed Over | 62c | 1,595$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 37c | 1,379$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.62 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 38c | 1,053$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.77 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Over | 62c | 1,000$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.74 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Under | 38c | 932.71$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.31 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 40c | 830.39$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.34 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 37c | 590.51$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.51 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 511.24$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.78 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Over | 62c | 484.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 61c | 431.95$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.27 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 399.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.38 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 31c | 382.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked Under | 38c | 347.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed Under | 37c | 280.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 61c | 261$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Over | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 41c | 250$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bb…0eaabacked Over | 63c | 227.26$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0984…5933backed Over | 67c | 217.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 181.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd842…775bbacked Over | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Over | 64c | 156.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…6b2abacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 37c | 70.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 38c | 67.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 36c | 67.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 38c | 45.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 38c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…f924backed Over | 66c | 37.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…e2b5backed Over | 61c | 21.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Take First CornerCanada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.