Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x066b350a0f4ebf5a18ef719482aef82de0d687656f1812a9c9b04d6ef6265898
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 30c | 4,809$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.2 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Over | 70c | 4,809$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…9e71backed Over | 77c | 2,030$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…17cfbacked Under | 26c | 1,173$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 23c | 1,001$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 24c | 946.29$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.48 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 26c | 435.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.36 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 419.07$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 30c | 395.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.69 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 74c | 375.04$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.26 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…c22ebacked Over | 73c | 338.4$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…9951backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 72c | 210.37$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…2bd9backed Under | 28c | 162.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 73c | 155.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f9…d0ddbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8d…15e4backed Under | 23c | 111$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…1e5abacked Over | 78c | 104.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a4…9c70backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…2448backed Under | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 22c | 99.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 30c | 96.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 31c | 96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…b8cdbacked Over | 77c | 90.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…7d66backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…e806backed Over | 72c | 64.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…ae21backed Over | 70c | 58.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 26c | 58.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 75c | 58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Under | 30c | 48.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…b3aabacked Over | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 69c | 45.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Under | 29c | 38.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf3…c10cbacked Over | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 76c | 22.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…4d9dbacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de6…31c5backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Take First CornerCanada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.