South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9abbd699b0f34dd52697d9350722b08217fb274e76c98bd27ec2a5889180059e

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,780 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8266…9e71backed Over	49c	5,208$2,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,532.76	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under	52c	3,469$1,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,678.96	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under	51c	2,860$1,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,401.4	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over	49c	2,729$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330.55	89	41.6%37 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under	50c	2,690$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.77	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under	48c	2,649$1,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,377.53	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	12c	2,344$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.05	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c5b…26e2backed Over	48c	2,050$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.77	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+8.0wins	+0.21per pick	37cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over	51c	2,033$1,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,033	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	47c	851.06$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Under	48c	798.82$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.39	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under	50c	700$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	96	38.5%37 W · 59 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over	47c	650$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.5	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under	48c	649$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.97	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Under	49c	625.31$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.91	67	65.7%44 W · 23 L	+9.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed Over	49c	618.48$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.06	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over	49c	532.31$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.83	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94f1…55e5backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Under	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	51c	463.18$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.96	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over	49c	439.68$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.33	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Over	48c	431.4$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.07	364	48.6%177 W · 187 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Under	51c	431.37$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.37	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Under	51c	427.45$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.45	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	52c	421$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.92	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+23%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	51c	400.06$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.06	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6838…6911backed Under	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under	48c	356.67$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.47	261	55.2%144 W · 117 L	+13.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over	50c	295.96$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.98	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked Under	51c	294.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Under	49c	222.86$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.66	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb6…a2cdbacked Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over	52c	169.23$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under	47c	166.73$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.37	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Under	53c	150.94$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.94	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over	49c	140.25$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.14	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under	52c	127.72$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.3	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x306d…d9c8backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	53c	80$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.6	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	51c	69.8$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.47	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	270	51.9%140 W · 130 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	48c	61.12$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.51	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under	48c	59.99$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.19	559	42.4%237 W · 322 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0cb…419fbacked Over	48c	59.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	50c	47.32$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.58	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	404	35.6%144 W · 260 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	51c	39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.11	259	48.6%126 W · 133 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	47c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa484…524cbacked Over	47c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over	47c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	98	50%49 W · 49 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe15…c560backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7412…97a3backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…08cdbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Take First CornerCanada won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event