Euroleague · resolved market
Manresa vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x196d91b07dca8c272d02bbee268c9851759dcb96d5ce70ec23c6438f60a0b114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manresaof Manresa, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Real Madrid | 41c | 2,550$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Manresa | 29c | 1,885$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.24 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…df45backed Manresa | 55c | 1,684$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Manresa | 65c | 1,671$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.74 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Real Madrid | 68c | 1,462$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…ce0bbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 1,232$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Manresa | 43c | 1,106$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.51 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Manresa | 65c | 919.36$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.47 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Real Madrid | 27c | 797.92$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Real Madrid | 67c | 795.17$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.91 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Manresa | 61c | 711.61$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.91 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed Manresa | 34c | 595.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +197.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Real Madrid | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Real Madrid | 29c | 498.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Manresa | 30c | 483.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Real Madrid | 70c | 470.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.69 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Manresa | 67c | 470.84$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.16 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Real Madrid | 68c | 440.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Real Madrid | 66c | 425.15$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Madrid | 54c | 421.51$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.58 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Real Madrid | 7c | 410.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Real Madrid | 27c | 407.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Manresa | 30c | 367.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.11 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…3300backed Real Madrid | 71c | 353.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Real Madrid | 32c | 342.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Real Madrid | 61c | 327.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…58debacked Real Madrid | 71c | 283.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Real Madrid | 47c | 273.28$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…1c1dbacked Real Madrid | 68c | 250.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Manresa | 72c | 244.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Manresa | 56c | 200.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Manresa | 59c | 161.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…612fbacked Manresa | 70c | 143.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manresa | 74c | 121.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Manresa | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Real Madrid | 46c | 111.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Real Madrid | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Manresa | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…6844backed Real Madrid | 26c | 104$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Manresa | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Manresa | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Manresa | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…9090backed Real Madrid | 75c | 97.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Manresa | 48c | 78.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Manresa | 48c | 69.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Real Madrid | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Manresa | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Real Madrid | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Real Madrid | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Real Madrid | 32c | 46.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Real Madrid | 68c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Manresa | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Real Madrid | 70c | 38.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Manresa | 29c | 36.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Real Madrid | 66c | 30.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Real Madrid | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…d3bfbacked Real Madrid | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…1e4ebacked Real Madrid | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Manresa | 55c | 27.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Real Madrid | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Real Madrid | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…b856backed Real Madrid | 71c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.