Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5ac07676a977bab8168285ad2920b616f80a7d8f6e6d44f3afee0c450573b57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 45c | 873.67$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.33 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 59c | 724$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.58 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 52c | 693.47$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.23 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed No | 43c | 640.81$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.61 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 66c | 483.8$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 55c | 420$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 44c | 365.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 56c | 337.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 44c | 212.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 44c | 195.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 187.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 178.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 154$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 41c | 151.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 47c | 149.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 148.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 18c | 144.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…6734backed Yes | 61c | 139.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 55c | 137.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 134.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 40c | 129.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a3…a3fabacked Yes | 77c | 129.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 40c | 129$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 56c | 114.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 111.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 26c | 105.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 40c | 104.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…0edebacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 69c | 97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 42c | 96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 79c | 94.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 51c | 92.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 48c | 89.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 78c | 88.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 49c | 85.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 20c | 84.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed No | 47c | 83.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 81.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 64c | 81.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 55c | 79.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…e184backed Yes | 60c | 77.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 23c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 50c | 73.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 60c | 71.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 44c | 68.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 43c | 67.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…dbddbacked No | 41c | 67.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 66.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked No | 39c | 66.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…e113backed Yes | 79c | 63.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 56c | 60.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463b…ded3backed No | 41c | 60.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…5080backed No | 42c | 59.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 60c | 54.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 41c | 53.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked Yes | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 61c | 52.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 59c | 52.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 28c | 51.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 67c | 51.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…9081backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc002…6f57backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…f9c7backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…4f19backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 59c | 49.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…67b0backed Yes | 59c | 48.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…0023backed No | 42c | 47.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 69c | 44.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 44c | 43.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 32c | 42.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 38c | 42.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 60c | 42.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 74c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 56c | 38.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 60c | 37.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 55c | 34.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 50c | 33.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 60c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…f565backed Yes | 58c | 32.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 60c | 32.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.