Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x168055a63fd768f0d9f5b297499d91f872a3d0ed53c037e35048ff1f93069be9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 22c | 814.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 28c | 387.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 26c | 315.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 295.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 241$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 74c | 212.87$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 25c | 204.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -11.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 28c | 177.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 79c | 174.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…b997backed Yes | 30c | 171.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 27c | 166.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 76c | 165$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 17c | 156.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 27c | 154.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 147.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 23c | 140.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 134.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 132.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 130.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 130.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 126.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…3b38backed No | 78c | 124.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 124 | 73.4%91 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 74c | 124.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 214 | 72%154 W · 60 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 75c | 121.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 77c | 118.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 74c | 117.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 79c | 116.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a3…a3fabacked Yes | 30c | 116.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 29c | 114.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 113.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 110.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 23c | 103.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 101.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 73c | 98.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 70c | 96.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…e196backed Yes | 29c | 87.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830f…1098backed Yes | 29c | 87.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 72c | 85.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 26c | 81.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 27c | 80.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 29c | 78.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…ea3abacked Yes | 38c | 74.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 78c | 74.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…ad6fbacked Yes | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 163 | 24.5%40 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 68.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 26c | 58.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 58.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 35c | 52.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 73c | 52.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 67c | 51.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 77c | 50.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 73c | 50.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…0edebacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 24c | 49.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked No | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 40c | 47.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 45.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…1bc1backed Yes | 31c | 42.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…17debacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…236bbacked Yes | 28c | 36.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 36.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…2038backed Yes | 30c | 36.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 76c | 35.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e7…359dbacked Yes | 36c | 35.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 72c | 33.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 72c | 33.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…22e4backed Yes | 31c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 60c | 32.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 68c | 31.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 77c | 27.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 74c | 26.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 75c | 26.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed No | 75c | 26.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 78c | 23.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…be4bbacked No | 73c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 20.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 20.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 73c | 19.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 70c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 78c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…f816backed No | 70c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 78c | 13.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.