Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefe0b9b5418f9e503974826578dc52c24e64a7a0c5e4c193dc035937eb908c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 2c | 1,297$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 28c | 469.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 14c | 337.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 12c | 337.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…62b6backed No | 50c | 260.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 52c | 258.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 80c | 251.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…c8cebacked No | 16c | 232.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 34c | 222.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 14c | 212.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 21c | 211.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 42c | 204.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 10c | 178.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 14c | 168$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…898ebacked Yes | 45c | 164.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 38c | 153.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 46c | 147.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 10c | 147.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc002…6f57backed No | 51c | 142$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 71c | 140.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 33c | 135.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 46c | 128.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 55c | 127.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 120.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…97d1backed Yes | 78c | 118.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed Yes | 64c | 109.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0a7dbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2401…0753backed No | 56c | 91.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 71c | 91.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 12c | 86.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 71c | 85.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 70c | 84.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 45c | 81.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 15c | 79.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 52c | 76.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 48c | 75.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…f35fbacked No | 48c | 75.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 47c | 70.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 21c | 68.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 66.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 63.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…cc7dbacked No | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 53.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…bcccbacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 25.2%37 W · 110 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad6…29f2backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 78c | 51.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 49c | 51.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 54c | 51.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…ef8ebacked Yes | 67c | 50.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffa…e54cbacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…3eddbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…c567backed Yes | 44c | 48.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 52c | 44.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed No | 47c | 43.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 53c | 40.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…78f8backed Yes | 33c | 39.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…3a10backed Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…468bbacked Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 162 | 63%102 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 70c | 36.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…239ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…51cdbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…3d37backed No | 48c | 32.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed No | 48c | 32.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 37c | 31.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6213…7e3ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Yes | 52c | 28.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…c2eabacked No | 57c | 28.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…329bbacked No | 56c | 27.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…5ff2backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 76c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…aadbbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 76c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…58b3backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb5…5969backed Yes | 72c | 20.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…c0b1backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…a323backed No | 70c | 15.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.