Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d8a0e4915178a4d7a0e82d8c88131f514c61917e0442d3580f2cdd99cd58d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,526 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 52c | 25,592$13,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,326.31 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 51c | 14,082$7,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900.07 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 10,892$5,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,620.7 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 9,768$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 8,204$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.69 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 6,287$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.85 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780b…8875backed Under | 48c | 6,271$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 49c | 5,539$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.1 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 4,510$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.84 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 49c | 4,100$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 3,933$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.12 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 3,887$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.69 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 60c | 2,411$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.14 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 2,135$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.73 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 1,758$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.43 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 34c | 1,147$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.2 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Over | 50c | 620.58$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.65 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 522.05$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Under | 66c | 453.63$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Under | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 45c | 288.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.83 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Over | 49c | 237$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 49c | 233.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 181$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 27c | 180.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 39c | 156.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…0095backed Under | 66c | 149.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Under | 42c | 131.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 71c | 130.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 126.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cc…7ca5backed Under | 67c | 119.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ae…97c0backed Over | 39c | 99.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 50c | 98.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 66c | 91.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 48c | 90.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 56c | 83.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 53c | 81.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Over | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Under | 65c | 76.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Under | 62c | 75.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 50c | 75.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed Under | 44c | 50.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…682dbacked Under | 44c | 50.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 49c | 47.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…18e0backed Under | 52c | 42.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…2faabacked Over | 49c | 38.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…6557backed Under | 52c | 34.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 64c | 27.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 50c | 26.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Under | 45c | 22.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 49c | 20.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 50c | 20.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 145.5this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida GatorsIowa Hawkeyes won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 139.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 140.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 142.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-4.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.