College Football · resolved market
Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde59a2fc8bf1ced8299274460673d0474f63c711d1cdeda5685c7becb87afdd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sam Houston Bearkatsof Delaware Blue Hens, Sam Houston Bearkats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 48,009$22,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,564.97 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 53c | 17,228$9,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,204.94 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Delaware Blue Hens | 56c | 8,459$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.09 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Delaware Blue Hens | 53c | 7,473$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.45 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Delaware Blue Hens | 53c | 6,069$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.77 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 53c | 1,910$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.3 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Delaware Blue Hens | 57c | 1,855$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Delaware Blue Hens | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Delaware Blue Hens | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…7089backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 127.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb7…8d07backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 106.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 43c | 101.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5474…3ba8backed Delaware Blue Hens | 56c | 77.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…e80cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 74.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Delaware Blue Hens | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…365bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Delaware Blue Hens | 69c | 49.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 57c | 21.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-9.5)this page
- Delaware Blue Hens vs. Sam Houston BearkatsSam Houston Bearkats won
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-10.5)Sam Houston Bearkats won
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-11.5)Sam Houston Bearkats won
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-8.5)Sam Houston Bearkats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.