College Football · resolved market
Colorado State vs. Wyoming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cc0abf65cd0737fbf5387816fcfcde3e86829bcae564e3778a2da2ddd9472ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyomingof Colorado State, Wyoming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Colorado State | 36c | 10,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wyoming | 64c | 8,946$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.39 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wyoming | 66c | 8,795$5,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.36 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado State | 32c | 4,673$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.4 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colorado State | 32c | 4,181$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.85 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Colorado State | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Colorado State | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Wyoming | 65c | 2,250$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wyoming | 67c | 1,677$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.56 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wyoming | 66c | 1,471$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.17 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Colorado State | 1c | 984.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Colorado State | 35c | 774$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado State | 4c | 726$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Wyoming | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colorado State | 35c | 590.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Colorado State | 34c | 549.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wyoming | 65c | 501.23$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Wyoming | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Wyoming | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Wyoming | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Wyoming | 66c | 202$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Colorado State | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Colorado State | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colorado State | 17c | 185$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Colorado State | 35c | 168$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Wyoming | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Wyoming | 67c | 153.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Colorado State | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…cabfbacked Colorado State | 36c | 90.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wyoming | 64c | 88.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Wyoming | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Colorado State | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Wyoming | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Colorado State | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Colorado State | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wyoming | 74c | 38.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Wyoming | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Colorado State | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…94e0backed Wyoming | 69c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…0146backed Wyoming | 74c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Wyoming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado State vs. Wyomingthis page
- Colorado State vs. Wyoming: O/U 47.5Under won
- O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Wyoming (-5.5)Wyoming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.