Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfabcfe550e73858c9d52c9dd418c048c2c067ae1e4428100ef736d86f6659101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,432 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Under | 47c | 100,689$47,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,372.23 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 53c | 99,128$52,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,537.92 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 47c | 54,520$25,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,895.86 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 54c | 14,870$8,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,029.58 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 10,299$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 53c | 9,941$5,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,268.66 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Under | 47c | 6,327$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.48 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 46c | 5,670$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.71 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 4,552$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 53c | 3,965$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.63 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 2,003$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.69 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 53c | 1,983$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.76 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 699.96$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.98 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Over | 55c | 468.93$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.91 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 295.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 56c | 258.56$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 224.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 54c | 220.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Under | 47c | 199.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 181.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 168.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…d0debacked Under | 44c | 136.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 57c | 122.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Under | 45c | 110.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…f59cbacked Under | 47c | 109.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Under | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 45c | 94.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Over | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Over | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 47c | 73.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 46c | 64.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Under | 45c | 63.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 47c | 63.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 62.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 47c | 56.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 47c | 51.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Under | 47c | 46.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…7cefbacked Over | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…71bcbacked Under | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5194…1dcabacked Under | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 54c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Under | 46c | 28.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Under | 47c | 27.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…05ccbacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 43c | 24.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 47c | 22.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…485abacked Over | 54c | 21.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 146.5this page
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-3.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-1.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's GaelsTexas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 130.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 140.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 147.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.