Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9981ed3e9d36da43ee7f1d849ca1105adc15b56f8c018f1f0dcf97312403cf1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,755$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.2 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Over | 27c | 1,047$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 26c | 881.39$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.57 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 50c | 877.91$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.95 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 338.87$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Over | 23c | 298.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 34c | 265.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 210.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 71c | 149.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 67c | 148.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 70c | 127.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…ace8backed Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 79.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 68c | 64.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 77c | 64.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed Over | 29c | 49.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 50c | 45.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 39c | 43.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 40c | 42.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 30c | 39.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Under | 68c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 67c | 25.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 65c | 23.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 67c | 15.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 148.5this page
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-3.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-1.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's GaelsTexas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 130.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 140.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 146.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.