Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open, Qualification: Ayla Aksu vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d5d106aa5ef0f383d4b4c638fa728745d96abcd4e8e4318c2a5c5c95bfea79c

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Aliaksandra Sasnovichof Ayla Aksu, Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Resolved: Mar 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $99,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,000 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Ayla Aksu	5c	13,625$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.05	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Ayla Aksu	3c	11,513$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	680	26.2%178 W · 502 L	-24.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9eb…c250backed Ayla Aksu	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich	78c	2,644$2,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.26	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ayla Aksu	3c	2,106$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.29	1,265	29.2%370 W · 895 L	-13.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Ayla Aksu	1c	1,509$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Ayla Aksu	17c	1,506$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.89	305	30.8%94 W · 211 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ayla Aksu	13c	1,419$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.74	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Ayla Aksu	23c	799.99$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	469	32%150 W · 319 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Ayla Aksu	2c	724.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ayla Aksu	22c	645$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.2	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich	78c	636.28$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.59	262	54.6%143 W · 119 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Ayla Aksu	23c	607.2$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.99	1,973	46.3%914 W · 1,059 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ayla Aksu	11c	406.73$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	7,816	50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L	+95.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Ayla Aksu	20c	383.81$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.69	1,414	41.1%581 W · 833 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ayla Aksu	15c	377.63$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.64	9,286	44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L	-245.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ac…1bb9backed Ayla Aksu	7c	376$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Ayla Aksu	15c	344.17$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.67	1,106	41%454 W · 652 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Ayla Aksu	7c	299.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	459	9.6%44 W · 415 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Ayla Aksu	7c	280.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	1,379	16.4%226 W · 1,153 L	-108.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Ayla Aksu	19c	257.52$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.93	1,284	39.2%503 W · 781 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Ayla Aksu	9c	250$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.49	3,901	50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L	-13.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ayla Aksu	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,044	53.8%1,100 W · 944 L	+61.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Ayla Aksu	24c	216.98$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.75	74	27%20 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ayla Aksu	18c	197.1$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.48	3,871	35%1,353 W · 2,518 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Ayla Aksu	19c	184.03$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	958	46.6%446 W · 512 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Ayla Aksu	13c	179.84$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.64	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich	75c	168.41$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.64	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich	80c	166.82$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.36	419	55.8%234 W · 185 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich	78c	156$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.96	7,139	49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L	+109.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Ayla Aksu	20c	142$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.76	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich	74c	123.9$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.32	475	52.4%249 W · 226 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Ayla Aksu	20c	112.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	155	12.9%20 W · 135 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7aa…04ffbacked Ayla Aksu	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Ayla Aksu	23c	103.51$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	1,444	38%548 W · 896 L	-46.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Ayla Aksu	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1,768	43.2%764 W · 1,004 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Ayla Aksu	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63ae…97c0backed Ayla Aksu	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Ayla Aksu	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	75	40%30 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Ayla Aksu	22c	98.74$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Ayla Aksu	21c	96.53$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	147	46.3%68 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich	80c	93.75$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.75	1,588	47%746 W · 842 L	-24.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab00…a1f5backed Ayla Aksu	20c	84.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ayla Aksu	17c	79.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.24	3,270	13.8%450 W · 2,820 L	-549.1wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich	74c	72.4$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.67	474	53.2%252 W · 222 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Ayla Aksu	15c	71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	279	40.1%112 W · 167 L	-11.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich	77c	64.93$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.93	664	52.3%347 W · 317 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c37…e7eebacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich	72c	59$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.52	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.17per pick	61cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb43e…fecfbacked Ayla Aksu	18c	57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Ayla Aksu	28c	48.93$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	1,831	53%971 W · 860 L	-45.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Ayla Aksu	24c	48.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.59	363	33.9%123 W · 240 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Ayla Aksu	21c	48$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	968	44.4%430 W · 538 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich	76c	46.94$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich	80c	37.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	129	74.4%96 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	72cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc871…2f76backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	81	69.1%56 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	-14.6wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich	75c	19$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.75	1,794	60.2%1,080 W · 714 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4544…9995backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich	79c	16.38$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.37	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich	78c	15.29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.36	416	68%283 W · 133 L	+23.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Miami Open, Qualification: Ayla Aksu vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market